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Bill Belichicks Curious Draft Decision: Are the Front-Office Departures Catching
Up With Him From 2001-2005, the Patriots had an incredible run of draft picks.
(That doesn't even include taking Tom Brady in the 6th round in 2000.) Those
picks helped form the core of a team that captured three Super Bowls. Over the
last few years, though, some of the bright young minds in that war room have
moved on. (This story from April 2009 is required reading.) The last three
drafts haven't been as successful (though Julian Edelman in the 7th round last
year was a great find). Last night the Patriots didn't fill a need with Rutgers
DB/ST Devin McCourty. (The reaction at Vince Wilfork's party: who) After taking
corner Darius Butler in the 2nd round last year, did a pretty good pass defense
really need another corner The Boston Globe:The trouble is that McCourty isnt
going to come screaming off the Nike Mercurial Vapor edge and tilt offenses protection
in his direction, opening things for pass rushers to make plays. Hes certainly
not going to help bridge the gap at receiver, with Randy Moss a good possibility
to be out the door after 2010. Hes also not going to give Tom Brady the security
blanket a good tight end could over the middle. Point is, the Patriots entered
last night with a plethora of

needs. They left without the biggest ones
addressed.The Boston Herald:The coachs decision to trade down twice before
finally picking McCourty with the 27th selection in the first round last night
gave the Soccer Jerseys - Club Patriots secondary its fifth
rookie addition in the past three drafts. If any had shown the potential to make
Pats fans forget Asante Samuel, the team would have opted last night to fill its
other significant needs at linebacker, defensive end, wide receiver and running
back. That Belichick felt the need to again try to shore up a secondary that was
torched last season for more than 300 yards passing by five different
quarterbacks instead was an indictment of the selections of cornerback Terrence
Wheatley (second round) and Jonathan Wilhite (fourth) in 2008, Darius Butler and
safety Patrick Chung in the second round last year and perhaps even the free
agent signings of Leigh Bodden and Shawn Springs.The Jets, drafting two spots
after the Patriots, scooped up a cornerback, Kyle Wilson from Boise State. (He
returns kicks, too … see these 2008 stats. McCourty is a kick-blocking
specialist, though – seven in his three years at Rutgers.)When you compare
Wilson to McCourty, the following draft pundits had Wilson higher: Scouts, Inc,
Rick Gosselin, Mel Kiper, Sports Illustrated and Mike Mayock. [UPDATE: Kiper had
Wilson over McCourty in his mock draft, but in this rating, had McCourty over
Wilson.] Wilson has been steadily climbing the charts since an impressive
showing at the Senior Bowl.Peter King tweeted last night that the Jets have the
best trio of cornerbacks in the league. (And they'll need ‘em against a
non-conference QB slate of Favre, Roethlisberger, Cutler, Schaub, Rodgers and
Flacco.)The curious New England selection reminded a Boston writer about the
1997 draft debacle when the Patriots took CB Chris Canty (bust, out of the
league

in four years) over Sam Madison (four Pro Bowls).
Chris Johnsons Slow Start, and Other Top Backs Who Started Badly Chris Johnson
had a public holdout that extended until right before the start of the season.
He has now played in the first three games, and despite 46 rush attempts, has
yet to reach 100 yards. The most likely explanations are the effects of no camp
with the holdout, and randomness. Johnson does not have a major injury that
seems to be effecting his numbers.Is there hope for Johnson this year I think
so. I went and looked at all other backs since 1990 who were (1) in the top 12
in running back fantasy points the previous year, and (2) played in all 3 games
to start the season, and had at least 40 rushes while averaging 2.5 or less
yards per carry.7 backs met those criteria: LaDainian Tomlinson 2007, Travis
Henry 2003, Shaun Alexander 2002, Corey Dillon 2000, Jamal Anderson 1997, Chris
Warren 1996, and Reggie Cobb 1993. (Reggie Cobb finished in the top 12 once Yes,
yes he did).Those 7 other backs averaged 46.7 carries in the first 3 games, with
a 2.15 yards per carry average. That's almost identical to Johnson's 46 carry
for 98 yard start. The other struggling star backsaveraged 19.5 carries a game
for the rest of the year, at a 4.4 yards per carry average. They averaged over
1,000 yards rushing for the final 13 games of the season. Only Reggie Cobb and
Jamal Anderson failed to average 4.0 yards a carry for the remaining games.While
a really bad start from a back like Chris Johnson is not typical, when it has
happened, most of the top backs just had a bad three games, and played closer to
their typical performance for the rest of

the year.[photo via Getty]