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Posted On 10.28.08

There's a lot of talk about the Wall Street bail-outs.  $700+ billion dollars to rescue financial institutions from a crisis they created themselves. And that probably won't be the end of it.

But there's another bail-out that people aren't talking about much - but probably should. 

Not long ago, while flying home from Germany, I read a small article buried in Read this author's blog.

Share and Enjoy:

Comments

Mark W.
10.28.08

You say -

"They (US Automakers) have absolutely refused to innovate and come up with new ideas to stay competitive - all the while spending millions on lobbyists who whine to Congress that if automakers are forced to meet new standards, it will destroy them (and their workers.)"

The US Automakers are represented by a very powerful member of the US Congress (John Dingell) as well as the lobbyists. This is a short excerpt (intro) from his Wikipedia site -

"John David Dingell, Jr. (born in Colorado Springs, Colorado, July 8, 1926) is a Democratic United States Representative from Michigan and is currently the Dean (longest currently serving member) of the House of Representatives. He is the 2nd longest serving Representative ever and the 4th longest serving Congressman ever. Since 1955, he has represented a district that was first in western Detroit but has successively moved further into that city's western suburbs, currently Michigan's 15th congressional district.

With the Democrats' victory in the 2006 midterm elections, Dingell again became chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, a panel he previously chaired from 1981 to 1995. According to the 2008 Congress.org Power Ranking, Dingell is the 4th most powerful congressman, preceded only by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, and Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charles Rangel, all fellow Democrats[1].

He is known by the friendly nickname, "Big John."

The above words pretty much say it all in my opinion. He has served as Chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee for many more years than any US President could ever hold office. He serves his constituency well but where does that leave the rest of the country? He's not the only player here but he definitely is "Big John"!

Chris - Manager's Sandbox
10.28.08

Fantastic analysis! The reason why people are buying Asian and European now is pretty simple - they want cars that offer a great value for the money.

A Toyota Camry or Honda Accord costs the same as, and will run longer with less work than a Ford Taurus/Fusion or Chevy Malibu. A Mercedes or BMW provides more luxury and a sportier ride than anything the American automakers are offering.

And while Japanese companies have been smart enough to focus on small, fuel-efficient cars for over 20 years, Ford took a gamble on the SUV rush and lost big. The fact that the Taurus isn't even the same car from country to country (each vehicle has a regional version that's completely different from the others) has played a big role in their slow demise.

I hear complaints that unions, and the high costs associated with organized labor, also play a part - Toyota can make a car in 1/3 the time and for $8,000 cheaper. Guess what? Don't shit on your employees and they won't unionize.

I'm with you on this one, Katie. They're getting what they deserve!

- Chris

Reina
10.28.08

I also want to add that I think the big automakers SHOULD go belly-up to make room for newer blood. The fact that the government reinforces the solvency and monopoly of the big 3 makes it all but impossible for any other innovators to get into the business. Maybe we need them to go bust to make way for new ideas. Isn't that the way of capitalism?

Did anyone else see the movie Tucker? Having huge companies like that is never good for newer, smaller, more efficient business practices, which would generate competition for their way of life.

As it is, we would be able to buy those fuel-efficient Toyotas and Hondas much cheaper if the US automakers had not lobbied for import tariffs to ensure the price of US vehicles would forever be slightly lower than foreign.

How is that good for anyone but the auto manufacturers?

Ben Overmyer
10.28.08

Hypothetical situation:

You're a U.S. Senator. You are the swing vote in a deadlocked Senate trying to decide between bailing out a stagnating auto industry or letting it fail. On the one hand, bailing out the industry will prevent billions in lost revenue and save many tens of thousands of jobs, but will slow innovation down by twenty years. On the other hand, letting it fail will keep the government flexible and will speed the acceptance of new technologies, but will put a couple hundred thousand people through ten years of suffering.

Now imagine that your constituents are made up of those people.

Which way are you going to vote?

Chris - Manager's Sandbox
10.28.08

@Ben - I suppose that depends on whether I feel it's the governments place to invest taxpayer money to save failing businesses in a capitalist society or not. I'm actually a left-leaning independent, but I hate this notion that a company can reap all the profits when they do well, but if they fail, Uncle Sam will come save them. That undermines the very fabric of a capitalist society.

It's also very much against the founding principles of this country, which were based on a strong state-level government with weak central authority.

In your scenario, it's no surprise why the elected official would vote the way he did. In that situation, I may well do the same thing. Of course, I would be voting based on what was best for me and not the country in the long run.

That bailout... where's that money come from? The government doesn't just make it. They need to tax everyone to pay for a company's stupid fuck-ups. Now how is that right, or in the best interest of the employees?

- Chris

Ben Overmyer
10.28.08

I never said anything about it being right, or in the best interests of the country. That's just how politicians think. They make sacrifices to please their constituents in the hopes that their extended stay in power will get more of their own personal beliefs realized, even if they know personally that a decision is the wrong one to make.

That is the inherent flaw in our democratic republic, though no government system has ever been proven to work any better.

Unless I miss my guess, the bailout money is coming from two places - the American taxpayer, and the international loan. I'd like to have a look at the American government's financial books, but I'm afraid it would scare me so badly I'd have a coronary.

Chris - Manager's Sandbox
10.28.08

@Ben - the scariest part, I think, is that the international loan will eventually have to be paid back, and that can only mean even more taxpayer burden.

Katie Konrath
10.28.08

@Ben What you wrote is exactly what I'm trying to point out. We can't make objective decisions about the automakers industry because they're holding the wellbeing of so many people hostage.

I have no problem investing money in things like health care, or education, or anything else that will improve the lives of everyday Americans. But what drives me crazy is throwing money at companies who don't deserve it, for the reason that we're trying to save the jobs of American workers. Those companies will just keep sucking resources because they don't have the will to become innovative leaders.

It would be great if we could get a discussion going about ways to rescue the hostages so we can deal with those dead-beat companies the way they deserve.

Ben Overmyer
10.28.08

Unfortunately, there is one important concern that is unique to the United States that holds us back further from doing anything to the Big Three: transportation is our lifeblood.

We Americans have to travel farther to live than any other nation in the world. I myself drive almost 160 miles every weekday (yes, you read that right) just to get to and from work. We rely very heavily on cars, trucks, and SUVs just to survive. It's not as simple as, say, replacing cars with public transportation, as would be viable in some European nations.

For that reason, the automotive industry has an unbelievably strong chokehold on the American economy.

Katie Konrath
10.28.08

I definitely agree that the lack of good public transport is a problem. If I took the bus, it would take me an hour and a half to get into town, with 4 buses, and I'd still have to drive 10 minutes to the bus stop. Just driving takes 30 minutes. Not a tough decision.

But that doesn't mean we'd have to support the Big 3. Any car company can supply vehicles... and the more innovative they were, the better.

Pirate Jo
10.28.08

Ben, I know you are being hypothetical, and trying to demonstrate how a congresscritter might think, but this: 'On the one hand, bailing out the industry will prevent billions in lost revenue and save many tens of thousands of jobs ...' Oy! The 'lost' revenue wouldn't be lost at all, and neither would the jobs. Both would go to competitors. Honda and Toyota make LOTS of cars here in the USA. And those suckers run forever without having to pour a ton of money into repairs for them!

Here is the part where I resist the urge to get on my soapbox and rant about the crappy experience I've had with GM over the last nine years. I'm infuriated by the loan, too.

Oh, and this, from the original post: 'They want $25 billion in loans to upgrade their plants for production of more fuel-efficient vehicles.' Hello, but it seems like a good way to pay for the production of fuel-efficient vehicles would be to, you know, make them and sell them to people.

Ben Overmyer
10.28.08

I understand that competitors would pick up the slack, but it would likely take awhile for them to ramp up the production. In the mean time, what about all the people suddenly out of work because of the simultaneous failure of GM, Chrysler, and possibly Ford?

Tim
10.28.08

No money for these car companies. Not a cent. Clinton and Gore gave them great incentives in the early 90s to produce fuel efficient vehicles and they completely ignored it. They went with a short-term business plan to capitalize on the popularity of SUVs while ignoring the long-term risk of increasing gas prices. There are American car companies who saw this coming and acted appropriately, and they'll be more than happy to pick up the slack if GM goes down.

Rob
11.05.08

It's not the invovation that's killing the U.S. Automaker as much as it is the legacy expenses that they took on (and should be blamed for). We will all be paying for it one way or another. But frankly, I don't mind a laid off floor worker not receiving 80% of his cusotmary pay with a full pension for staying at home with the kids.

iik7
11.11.08

I also have been amazingly disappointed in the quality of US cars and am tempted to let them bite the dust.

But to their credit, they have outrageously high health care and pension costs to deal with that other car manufacturers do not. Why should UAW have so much better benefits for its workers than those enjoyed in any other US industry? I think that Ford and GM CEOs are still stuck in the dark ages in terms of their attitudes, but they would also have a lot more room to innovate and take chances if they didn't have over $1000 per car to pay health care costs of their workers.

If they do die, their leadership and their workers have to share the blame. Toyota will be happy to move to Detroit and re-hire those workers for a normal salary and benefits. Best thing we could do is to have a rational health care system in this country.

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